Sunday, November 22, 2015

Despite the Market highs we are starting to Short the Dow !

At this level of 17815 we are entering into new short positions on the Dow! Futures. 
Our profit target can go from 1000 to 2000 points and more. 


Dow 17815:



Sunday, August 23, 2015

The Picture says it all !

The selloff in the market last week caught everybody in surprise but not us. I've been saying for the last few month to build a short position selling the Dow from the highs of 18200. and as you my readers recall I was very firm and consistent in my view on that position. At this level at more than 2000 points below our entry price we can take huge profit as we entered the position way before the nerd.
The below picture is the story of the Blog and the position we took on shorting the Dow in the last few month. No better way to describe it.

Dow 15985:



Friday, July 24, 2015

500 Points on our short trade on the Dow!

Dow 17502:
Additional 500 points on our short sell on the Dow Futures since our last post Four days ago. This will be our third run on this trade cashing in over 2000 points so far and more to come.


Monday, July 20, 2015

Congratulations! Celebrating Six month to the Blog.

We are now celebrating six month to the blog who became very popular among professional traders and money managers. Since last February when I first started posting my analysis on the markets, I was focusing on three assets that managed to gain several thousand points.

I would also like to take this opportunity and thank my readers and special those who emailed me their feedback and comments. I highly appreciate that. Thank You.

EUR/USD 1.0816:
Eur/Usd is back to the levels we saw beginning of March. I insisted along the way to sell on the highs and we had those opportunities when the Eur climbed again to the 1.14 level. all around we had over 1500 pips gain on the Eur trade. see below today's chart and from last March.








Dow 18002:
On the Dow we also had several trades of 700-800 points since calling the high at 18250 as a selling point.



Oil 49.99:
On the Oil we had a beautiful trade from the low 40's up to the 60's of close to $15. as you can see the Oil pulled back towards the 50 level and we need to keep a close look for further direction.



Friday, July 3, 2015

Bingo! Our Dow trade gained more than 600 points in the money.

Dow 17621 :
Our trade on the Dow from 18250 is gaining us more than 600 points in the money and more to come. We were fortunate to get in at the peak and ride it all the way down. I kept insisting on selling the Dow despite some new highs in previous months. And it turned out to be a great trade. As I write in my profile, we can cash in when others are only considering to join the move. as the famous saying on the street goes, "Buy on the rumors and sell on the news" we sold on our analysis and cahsing on the news.


Friday, June 5, 2015

Is the Dow heading down ?

Dow 17849:
After some of my readers were skeptical about my call insisting on selling the Dow, it is finally kicking in. Several hundred points to the downside in the last few days is just an appetizer. Dow can still correct itself for a while but the long shot is definitely to the downside.


Friday, May 22, 2015

Pros and Cons

I need to be humble admitting that no Model is perfect and although the odds are in our favor with accuracy of over 90%, we are still dealing with risks, and these risks need to be managed.
I would like to stick to my rule since I started this blog, and avoid going into details as to how to trade and manage a portfolio based on the calls generated by my model.


EUR/USD 1.10:
Although I insisted on my previous posts to sell the EUR/USD, the model failed to predict the comeback the Euro had in the last two weeks back to 1.1450. Having said that, I didn't change my view to sell the EUR/USD on the highs and that opportunity came in this week to sell again above 1.14 all the way down to close the week at 1.10.




Dow 18232:
No change in my view on the Dow. The model keeps predicting a sell-off in the market despite the new highs we in.


Oil 59.92:
Oil keeps holding at a 60 level from our previous long call at the mid 40's. The coming days and weeks will determine if Oil will keep rising or will it re-test the previous lows.